Thursday, June 4, 2026

The Sun Nigeria

Nigeria 2027: Frenzied politics, forgotten people

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Nigeria is a country gripped by political ambition, while the masses languish. As it inches closer to the 2027 general elections, the corridors of power are abuzz with frenetic activity. Political players are switching allegiances, new coalitions are being stitched together, and campaign machinery is grinding into motion, all under the pretence of democratic preparation. Yet, beneath this cacophony of political showmanship, millions of Nigerians remain trapped in the despair of poverty, insecurity, and institutional decay, and nobody spares a thought for them.

What should be a time of national reckoning, a moment to ask hard questions about leadership, governance, and national direction, has become another circus of ambition. From Abuja to state capitals, politicians act with feverish urgency, not to rescue a faltering country, but to preserve personal power. The disconnect between the ruling elite and the Nigerian masses is no longer just wide; it is morally grotesque.

The political elite have launched their pre-election theatrics with alarming speed and energy, even before the country’s electoral umpire, another disaster, lifts the lid on politicking. Political influencers clog media spaces with speculative commentary. But none of this theatre addresses Nigeria’s crumbling reality.

Joblessness is rampant. The national unemployment rate stands at over 33%, and youth unemployment is even higher. Inflation continues to soar; food inflation in particular has surpassed 40% in many regions. Generations of Nigerians unborn have been collateralised for a ceaseless flow of inordinate borrowings. Yet politicians fly across the country in private jets, attending endorsement ceremonies, launching or commissioning vanity projects, and strategising for personal advancement.

Senators seek governorships, governors eye the presidency, and failed presidential aspirants lurk in the shadows for another shot. Political parties have become revolving doors of convenience, not conviction. Even the recent coalition of opposition forces, while hailed as a potential bulwark against one-party dominance, is viewed with scepticism, seen more as a marriage of expediency than a genuine alliance for reform.

While the elite jostle for 2027, the Nigerian masses continue to battle the realities of insecurity, economic despair, and institutional failure. Banditry, kidnapping, and terrorism have become everyday realities for millions, particularly in the North and parts of the Middle Belt, and gradually encroaching the South. Farmers are driven from their lands, worsening food insecurity. Students are abducted. Police morale is low, and military overstretch is a grim reality, even as some are accused of colluding with the bloody fiends.

Urban dwellers contend with electricity blackouts despite the plague of an evil banding system that only extorts the embattled citizens; water shortages, and skyrocketing transportation costs. In rural areas, basic amenities remain a distant dream. The suffering is vast and visible, yet largely ignored by the cold and indifferent political class.

For most embittered citizens, the coming election means nothing. Their concern is how to feed their families today, not who wins tomorrow, which offers little or no hope anyway.

Adding to the political disillusionment is the erosion of judicial integrity. The judiciary, once regarded as the last hope for the common man, has suffered a major credibility crisis in recent years and could be described as the worst nightmare of litigants, who have no political leverage or clout. Post-election disputes from the 2023 elections, like those before it, dragged on, and several verdicts sparked national outrage, with many citizens accusing judges of bias or succumbing to executive pressure.

Court rulings now generate more confusion than clarity. The inconsistent application of electoral laws, conflicting judgments from different courts, and allegations of corruption have weakened public confidence in the justice system. Without an impartial judiciary, the rule of law falters, and democracy with it.

One of democracy’s vital pillars, a strong, credible opposition, is crumbling. Nigeria’s opposition parties are beset by suspected induced internal crises: leadership tussles, ideological incoherence, and the constant lure of ruling-party patronage.

One would be making a grave mistake to assume that President Bola Tinubu is the problem of Nigeria. Yes, he may be part of it, with all the sycophants hanging around him.  However, even the much-publicised formation of a new mega-opposition coalition has not quelled public doubts. Many fear it’s a mere reshuffling of familiar roguery faces that contributed to the country’s mess rather than a bold infusion of new vision.

This lack of credible alternatives has fueled a dangerous apathy. Voter turnout in the 2023 elections was historically low; barely about 27% of registered voters participated. That figure may decline further in 2027 if the political class continues to ignore citizens’ yearnings.

Young Nigerians, once galvanised by the #EndSARS movement and hopeful about civic change, are growing increasingly cynical. Many now express their discontent through memes or disengagement. Others are leaving the country for even forlorn lands inaccessible on google maps, part of the growing “japa” wave, citing hopelessness and insecurity in the land.

Rather than focus on performance, politicians have embraced publicity stunts and image management. Press conferences, social media trends, and celebratory dinners have replaced legislative work and policy implementation. Newly launched ministries, special advisers, and digital dashboards are paraded as signs of progress, even as service delivery remains abysmal.

For instance, while millions go hungry, state and federal lawmakers routinely allocate billions for constituency projects that are either poorly executed by their proxies or never completed, or done at all. Reports from civil society organisations reveal massive procurement fraud, contract inflation, budget padding, and lack of transparency in budget implementation. The government appears more interested in managing perception than solving real problems.

With the ruling party tightening its grip across federal and state structures, many fear Nigeria is sliding toward de facto one-party dominance. Defections by prime opposition members, capture of institutions, and the weaponisation of state agencies against dissenters all point toward democratic regression. Such consolidation of power breeds impunity. Without viable checks and balances, policies become arbitrary, corruption thrives, and voices of opposition are silenced. This climate weakens democratic resilience and fosters instability.

Nigeria’s democracy is at a tipping point. The problem is not just structural; it is deeply moral. At the heart of the dysfunction lies a failure of empathy and conscience. Public office has become synonymous with wealth accumulation, not public service. Elections are seen as business investments with guaranteed returns, contracts, appointments, and control over state resources.

This must change. Real transformation demands a radical shift in mindset, from transactional politics to transformational leadership. It requires citizens to demand more, not just on Election Day but every day. Civil society, religious leaders, youth movements, and professional bodies must sustain pressure on leaders to act accountably.

Nigeria is not bereft of capable leaders. What is missing is a system that rewards integrity and punishes betrayal. A new social contract is needed; one grounded in justice, transparency, and inclusiveness.

As the 2027 elections approach, Nigeria finds itself in a dangerous paradox: Political energy is at its peak, yet national hope is at its lowest. The political class is mobilising with intensity, but the people are immobilised by despair. Nigerians must shun the tribal card always played by political elements to divide the people while feathering their nest at their expense.

If this trend continues, the elections may yield winners, but not progress. Power may change hands, but the people’s fortunes will remain unchanged. True democracy is not measured by ballots cast, but by lives improved.

The question before Nigeria is urgent and moral: Will the country continue down the path of spectacle and selfishness, or will a new breed of leaders and voters rise to reclaim the promise of democracy?

Winning the war on terror

Not a few Nigerians were taken aback by the recent claim of Daniel Bwala, an aide to President Bola Tinubu, on Channels Television, as regards the degrading of terrorism. Perhaps, he meant the frequency of attacks, which reduced marginally.

However, casualties of terrorist acts remain high. Insecurity in certain states is ongoing, and many Nigerians remain unconvinced that progress has reached those most affected. The decline in attacks does not yet equate to safety or stability for large parts of the population. Public trust in official claims remains fragile. In short, the broader picture of Bwala’s statement is still mixed, and public sentiment shows considerable doubt.

Nevertheless, recent military gains should be applauded and encouraged. This is a war we must win; losing it means losing the entire monolith called Nigeria, which many have already consigned to the past.