Sudan and outcomes of wars

By  Dantala Bello

A vicious power struggle between the Sudanese regular army and the country’s paramilitary force called the Rapid support Force (RSF) is the cause of the current fighting in the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, and elsewhere in the country. General Abdel Fattah-al Burhan, the country’s head of state, disagreed with his deputy and leader of the RSF, General Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo ,  on plans to integrate the 100,000 strong RSF that grew out of  Dafur’s Janjaweed militias into the army, and who would then head the new force

Since the fighting broke out on April 15 this year , the clashes have reportedly led to the deaths and displacement of hundreds of people and left over 4000 injured. Hundreds of Nigerians fleeing the fighting have been evacuated and brought back home from the increasingly unstable North-East African Country. Yet this tragedy could have been avoided if the two generals had sacrificed their ego and self-serving interests for the stability and progress of their country. Now the victor of this fight is likely to be Sudan’s next president, with the loser facing exile, arrest or death.

It is on this grounds that many believe that if Washington policy makers had heeded the warning of Henry Kissinger, former United States Secretary of  State, Russia probably would not have embarked on its special military operation in Ukraine. Kissinger earlier warned on several occasions that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) expansion would create tensions between Russia and the US as well as Russia and the rest of the Western Europe, Kissinger told the wall Street Journal that: ‘’It was a mistake for NATO to signal to Ukraine that it might eventually join the alliance, and that Putin’s security concerns should be taken seriously. But Washington ignored  kissinger  and  continued   relating with Russia on its policy of containment (a geopolitical strategic foreign policy during the cold war to prevent the spread of communism after the end of world War II), and its policy of encirclement (a military term for the situation when a force or target is isolated and surrounded by enemy forces) and weakening of Russia dating back more than one Century. These policies reached its apogee at the beginning of the 21st century.

The Maidan protest of 2014 in kiev,  the Ukrainian capital, sparked by President Victor Yanukovych’s refusal  to sign the European Union- Ukraine Association Agreement, was the turning point for the openly confrontational nature of Russian American relation’s, and the determination to protect Europe by the US. True, the current conflict in Ukraine, supported by the US – led west has resulted in numerous casualties, and it is reportedly aimed at weakening Russia but ironically it is equally weakening the west too.

Before now the cheap energy coming from Russia stimulated the European economy, including Germany which was its driving force. Europe now has to build a new infrastructure for gas supplies from the US, which is expensive compared with supplies from Russia

It is crystal clear that neither the US nor NATO   or even the European Union needs Ukraine on its own with its polarized 40 million population, stagnating economy and high-level corruption. Despite the comprehensive assistance to Ukraine from the West, facts of corruption schemes are reportedly increasingly surfacing. Ukraine officials are reported to have appropriated so many public property with embezzled public funds through the government’s so called privatization and nationalization policy. Western humanitarian aid has reportedly been plundered and sold to people by these officials . Their assistance to evaders from military mobilization to depart  Ukraine reportedly on the average cost from $1,500.

Arms smuggling from Ukraine to Asia and African countries is reported to be  booming under these officials. In fact the growth of threats to international security emanating from Ukraine has been recorded – drug trafficking, counter smuggling of weapons, trafficking in people, including children and human organs. In recent years, according to western standards, Ukraine has been on the path of a terrorist state, carrying out terrorist acts, and its cyber attacks have reportedly become common place, and justifying them with claims of protection from ‘’Russian aggression’’. It is therefore not surprising that the Ukrainian leadership reacted negatively when the African Union, AU, refused to approve for participation of Kiev’s representatives in the February session of the Assembly of Heads of State and Government of the AU, and subsequently blocked the inclusion of the Ukrainian topic on its agenda.

Many observers of the cyberspace believe that the subsequent hacking of the Automatic Information System (AIS) of the AU is the revenge of the Kiev  regime on the African continent for its refusal to condemn ‘’ Russian aggression’’ in Ukraine. According to information from the cyber community, Ukrainian hackers have extensive experience in carrying out cyber-attacks on the AIS of both Russian state institutions and private companies (recorded before Russia invaded Ukraine) and foreign structures that maintain ties with Russia or are loyal to the policies of the Russian federation. Reports say that the most active in Ukraine’s Cyber games are the so-called Cyber Army of Ukraine, operating under the patronage of the west which includes such groups as ‘’ Save UA’’ Cyber Cerber’’  ‘’Anonymous – Ukraine ‘’ and others. Before now the cheap energy coming from Russia stimulated the European economy, including Germany which was its driving force. Europe now has to build a new infrastructure for gas supplies from the US, which is expensive compared with supplies from Russia

It is crystal clear that neither the US nor NATO   or even the European Union needs Ukraine on its own with its polarized 40 million population, stagnating economy and high-level corruption. Despite the comprehensive assistance to Ukraine from the West, facts of corruption schemes are reportedly increasingly surfacing. Ukraine officials are reported to have appropriated so many public property with embezzled public funds through the government’s so called privatization and nationalization policy. Western humanitarian aid has reportedly been plundered and sold to people by these officials . Their assistance to evaders from military mobilization to depart  Ukraine reportedly on the average cost from $1,500.

There is a growing consensus that the west is courting disaster and risks another devastating world war with its NATO expansion . In the same vein, the two Sudanese Army Generals now at the throat of each other are equally courting disaster with the risk of a long-running civil war which might end up in partitioning of their Arab and African country into rival fiefdoms perpetually at war

Bello writes from Ilorin