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By Mike Orinando
Even before the Southern Governors Forum’s recent clarion call for President of the country in 2023 to come from the Southern part of the country, there had been preponderance of opinions across the divide that Southeast zone should be allowed and supported to produce Nigeria President in 2023 in the interest of fairness, equity and the spirit of oneness. It is not surprising that the Southern Governors’ position on the issue has been trailed with mixed reactions and feelings. While the Pentecostal Fellowship of Nigeria, different groups and political leaders across the divide including some Northern governors like Governor Samuel Ortom of Benue State, Mallam Nasir El-Rulfai of Kaduna State, Prof. Babagana Zulum of Borno State, Ibrahim Ganduje of Kano, Aminu Masari of Katsina and their Nasarawa counterpart, Abdullahi Sule have openly declared their unflinching support for 2023 Nigerian President of Southern extraction, the Northern Elders Forum (NEF), former governor of Zamfara state, Senator Sani Ahmed (Yerima) and Kogi state governor, Yahaya Bello have faulted the appeal, stressing that Nigerian Presidency is a democratic office and not a rotational position. They further claimed that the demand of the Southern Governors on 2023 is unconstitutional and unacceptable.
According to the Director of Publicity and Advocacy of the NEF, Dr. Hakeem Baba-Ahmed, the North cannot be threatened, intimidated or blackmailed out of the 2023 presidency by the Southern Governors’ unconstitutional request to be allowed to produce the next President of the country. Even before now, Northerners, especially Governor Bello, who are opposed to the South’s quest to produce President of the country in 2023, have argued that merit should be the basis for such quest, not emotional appeal as exhibited by the Southerner governors. One thing that is clear is that the Southern Governors’ position on the 2023 presidency is legitimate and allowed in a democracy. It is not an abomination or aberration. The Governors have the constitutional right to make such request. An appeal or request of such by the Southern Governors who are the leaders in their respective states and critical stakeholders in the project called Nigeria cannot and should not be termed or assumed as an intimidation, threat or blackmail by any person not even the NEF, Sani Ahmed, Governor Bello and others opposed to it. The Southern Governors are representatives and leaders of their people. Their demand that 2023 presidency should be zoned to the South is not different from the views of their people and the majority of patriotic Northerners, including governors that have openly supported the idea in the overall interest of the country. On the constitutionality of the request, NEF and those opposed to the quest should be reminded that it is constitutional. Besides everything should not be constitutional, especially in politics before people abide by it. Consensus, adoption, affirmation and dialogue are allowed in politics.
Even when the constitution becomes an obstacle in such circumstance, doctrine of necessity which is constitutional could be adopted to salvage the situation. We have witnessed it at the peak of late President Umaru Musa Yar Adua’s health saga that nearly grounded the country’s democracy. It was the doctrine of necessity that saved the country’s democracy from collapsing then. With the inclusion of the Federal Character principles in Nigeria’s constitution, it is not in doubt that the framers recognize the need for equity and fairness in distribution of public offices in the country.
It is to ensure fairness, equity and sense of belonging that many states in the country have adopted conventional zoning of governorship seats in their states without recourse to the constitution. It has worked and still working for them. Such has reduced acrimony, rancour and political brigandage in governorship elections in such states over the years. Even in Kogi state, where Gov. Bello presides, the Igala people have dominated its politics. However, following the demise of the All Progressive Congress Governorship candidate Abubakar Audu in the 2017 governorship election in the state, Bello emerged and became the governor. It amounts to hypocrisy for one to canvass for zoning of governorship seat among the three Senatorial zones in the state and oppose such zoning of the presidential seat among the six geopolitical zones in the country of which four zones have produced both presidents and their deputies, leaving others to their political fate since 1999. Those who are opposed to South, particularly Southeast producing Buhari’s successor are not sincere and fair. The likes of Gov. Bello and Senator Ahmed are being driven by their 2023 presidential ambitions and not sense of equity. They know the truth, but are trying to live in self-denial and pretence. There is no better time to address the political marginalisation of the people of the South, especially the Southeast region than in 2023 by supporting them to produce the President. Their own should not be different, because apart from paying their dues in the project called Nigeria, they have endured and experienced too much political oppression and alienation like no other zone in the country. Even if merit should be the basis for which zone should produce the President of Nigeria in 2023, the Southeast region has people who are eminently qualified for the post. The North, which has dominated the nation’s leadership since independence, is not more endowed humanly and materially than the South. From the First Republic till date, that the North has dominated the country’s political space especially as it concerns the Presidency, what they have offered Nigerians are not better than what the South had offered and can still offer if given opportunity.
Lest we forget, in the first republic, Alhaji Abubakar Tafewa Balewa, who was made Prime Minister was not the most qualified in the North and in the South, where the likes of Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe and Chief Obafemi Awolowo hailed from. Balewa’s emergence was as a result of the conspiracy by some leaders in collaboration with Britain who colonized the country. This same conspiracy of the political elite was what made Alhaji Shehu Shagari, the presidential candidate of the National Party of Nigeria (NPN) and later elected President of the country, against intellectuals from the North such as Maitama Sule, Alhaji Ibrahim Tahir and others, who were NPN presidential aspirants.
With the return of democracy in 1999, nothing changed. The Southwest zone fought to be supported to produce the president following the death of the presumed winner of the annulled June 12, 1993 election, Chief MKO Abiola. That was why Chief Olusegun Obasanjo who was in prison in Yola was hurriedly released, packaged and imposed on the founding members of the PDP by some retired military officers in collaboration with some political elites as the party’s presidential candidate against the highly favoured ex-vice president and a founding father of the PDP, now late Dr. Alex Ekwueme.
Chief Olu Falae. Where was merit in this circumstance if not that the cabal and their united conspiracy were at work?
In 2015, President Goodluck Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) could be said to be more qualified than President Muhammadu Buhari in all ramifications, but with the sentiment of the North that it was their turn to produce President coupled with the same united conspiracy of some political elites who have been in the system, Nigerians especially the Northerners who are even PDP faithful voted for Buhari’s Presidency against that of the incumbent Jonathan.
With the above historical narrative, it is obvious that since independence till date, Nigerians by omission or commission have not made choices of their presidents at polling units on merit or the most qualified. Such choices have always been more on the basis of party consideration, zone and other criteria than merit.
With this, anybody or group that is opposed to the Southern Governors’ quest for 2023 Presidency to be zoned to South and the office to be rotational, citing merit is living in self-delusion. This is because Southern Nigeria is blessed with eminently qualified abundant people across the three geopolitical zones.
Deploying the puerile argument that 2023 presidency should be about merit is not enough to scare the people of the South away or intimidate them to submission.
The political elites across the divide know how they have been doing it since the First Republic till date. They should replicate it in the South, particularly in the Southeast zone in 2023 by picking a Presidential candidate from the zone and support him to be President. They did it for the Northeast, Northwest, Southsouth and Southwest and it is the turn of the Southeast in 2023.
The Northerners, if they truly believe in one Nigeria, should not wait for the South to micro-zone the 2023 presidency to Southeast zone before they support the move. They should support the quest now and be involved in making the choice of who becomes the President of the country in 2023, the way and manner they have been doing it before.
Orinando, a legal practitioner, writes from Los Angeles, USA
