Nigeria@66: From 3 equities to multi-trillion-naira market

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By Chukwuma Umeorah

Sixty-six years after Nigeria established its capital market, the market has grown from a small trading platform into a broad financial system with a larger pool of listed companies, more sophisticated infrastructure, wider investor participation and a growing range of investment products.

But the growth has not followed a straight line. Instead, major periods of expansion have largely followed government policies, economic reforms, financial-sector restructuring and changes in market infrastructure, according to market operators who assessed the market’s journey since its establishment.

 

 

The Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Arthur Stevens Asset Management, Olatunde Amolegbe, described the growth of the capital market as “very impressive even if sporadic and driven by specific events unlike in other jurisdictions where the growth had been deliberately planned.”

“What’s important is that we get to our destination irrespective of how it’s done,” he said.

From the establishment of the Lagos Stock Exchange in 1960, the market has passed through several stages, including the indigenisation era of the 1970s, privatisation and commercialisation programmes of the 1980s, technological transformation in the 1990s, banking-sector consolidation in the 2000s, the 2008 financial market crisis, post-crisis reforms, demutualisation and, most recently, the migration to a T+1 settlement cycle.

From three equities to a wider market

The Lagos Stock Exchange was established in 1960, with trading commencing in 1961. At the beginning, the market was considerably smaller, with three equities, six Federal Government bonds and 10 industrial loan stocks.

The market subsequently expanded as economic policies created new opportunities for Nigerian participation in businesses and opened more companies to public ownership.

Amolegbe identified the indigenisation decree of the 1970s as one of the major events that contributed to the market’s expansion, followed by the privatisation and commercialisation programme of the 1980s.

“The indigenisation decree of the 70s, Privatization and Commercialization of the 1980 and the Banking Recapitalization exercises of the 2000 all contributed to the growth we have seen,” he said.

The indigenisation policy increased Nigerian ownership of businesses, while privatisation created opportunities for some state-owned enterprises to become publicly owned companies. The banking reforms that followed decades later generated further activity in the equity market as banks raised capital and consolidated their operations.

The market was also becoming less dependent on manual processes. The establishment of the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) in the 1990s and the introduction of electronic trading subsequently changed the way securities were traded, cleared and settled.

For Amolegbe, the technological transformation has been one of the most important changes in the market’s development.

“In recent times migration to electronic and digital trading platforms as well as clearing and settlement of trades has really change the risk and liquidity profile of the market and have expanded market participation and inclusion by increasing the nature and type of investors that can access the market,” he said.

The 2008 crisis and reforms

The expansion was, however, interrupted by the global financial crisis of 2008, which triggered a sharp decline in Nigerian equities and exposed weaknesses in the market.

Managing Director of Highcap Securities, David Adonri described the period as the market’s low point in its 66-year history.

“Its low point was the near crash in 2008 caused by the ravaging Global Meltdown and credibility crisis,” he said.

The crisis was followed by a series of reforms covering market regulation, risk management, corporate governance, investor protection and market infrastructure. Those reforms gradually restored confidence and helped create the framework for the market’s subsequent recovery.

The Nigerian Stock Exchange also continued its transformation, including the move from manual and physical processes towards more technology-driven operations and, eventually, its demutualisation in 2021 and emergence as Nigerian Exchange Limited.

The post-crisis period also coincided with further development of products and market infrastructure, giving investors access to a broader range of securities and improving the ability of the market to process transactions.

A market becoming more technology-driven

The latest phase of development has been marked by further changes to the market’s operating structure.

In June 2026, Nigeria moved from a T+2 to a T+1 settlement cycle for eligible transactions, meaning trades are settled one business day after the transaction rather than two.

Amolegbe sees the change as part of the continuing improvement in market infrastructure. “The migration to a T+1 settlement system and deliberate efforts to list other asset classes such as Bonds and Commercial Papers arw also positive developments that have help advanced the market,” he said.

The technological changes are also beginning to affect the primary market. Amolegbe pointed to the Dangote Refinery public offer as an example of how digital processes are increasingly being extended beyond secondary-market trading.

“We are now seeing this reforms also spreading to the primary market with the Dangote Refinery IPO,” he said. The public offer marked another major development in the market’s history, coming at a time when the Nigerian equities market has recorded substantial increases in both market capitalisation and the All-Share Index.

Bigger market, but questions over depth remain

The growth in market size has been substantial, particularly in recent years. The market has moved from a relatively small platform serving a limited number of companies and investors to one with significantly higher valuations, larger transaction volumes and broader participation.

Yet, Adonri argues that the increase in size does not automatically mean the market has achieved the depth required to play a much larger role in the Nigerian economy. Despite the 66 years of development, he said, “the Nigerian Capital Market is still at its infancy of growth.”

“It is still not a critical mass of the economy as it lacks the depth to serve as the barometer of the economy,” Adonri said.

He further argued that the next phase of development should involve bringing more large companies into the market. “However, with the upsurge in the listing of enterprises that occupy the commanding heights of the economy, its contribution to GDP is expected to be substantial in due course,” he said.

“The Market is a marketable brand. It has world-class infrastructure. It has multiple product offerings. The Market is active both in the Primary and Secondary levels,” he said. He added that, “With its world-class infrastructure, processes, robust technologies and regulations, superior settlement cycle and capable Capital Market Operators, the quality and efficiency of service delivery is of world-class standard.”

While also assessing what the quality of growth, Amolegbe stated, “It was clear we had an issue with the previous market structure as it was incapable of achieving the sort of inclusion and participation that a country of our population and demographic deserves. A country with a population of 250 million with less than 2 million market retail participants is not adequate especially when markets in other developed countries have participation of close to 60 per cent of the population.

The consequences is unless market instability due to the uneven skewness as the market was dominated by a certain type of investors. But now with the use of technology and appropriate adjustments to extant regulations and rules as well as improvements to market microstructure I believe the market is moving towards achieving its potential and that hopefully will be accompanied by greater market stability.”

The next phase

The history of Nigeria’s capital market therefore shows a pattern of expansion around major economic and institutional changes. The indigenisation policies of the 1970s widened Nigerian participation in business ownership. Privatisation and commercialisation in the 1980s expanded the number of companies that could access the public market. Banking-sector reforms in the 2000s generated another wave of capital raising and consolidation, while the 2008 crisis triggered reforms that strengthened the market’s regulatory and operational framework.

Technology then became increasingly central to the market, with electronic trading, clearing and settlement reducing dependence on older processes and widening access. The more recent changes, from demutualisation to T+1 settlement and the digitisation of primary-market processes represent another stage in that evolution.

The most important point is that despite the uneven nature of the journey, the market has continued to move forward.

“Whats important is that we get to our destination irrespective of how it’s done,” he said.

Adonri however, suggests that the next destination is not simply a larger market but a deeper one, a market with more major businesses listed, greater economic relevance and enough breadth to serve as a stronger measure of the performance of the Nigerian economy. “After 66 years, the central question is therefore shifting from how large the market has become to how deeply it is integrated into the economy it is expected to finance.”

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