Expectations  high as December inflation follows deceleration format

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From Isaac Anumihe, Abuja

National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) yesterday, said that it was set to release the December  Consumer Price Index (CPI), today.

CPI measures the inflation rate according to him is expected to follow the deceleration trend which  has dotted the rate since  March, last year.

The CPI had started its deceleration move last April when it slowed to 18:12 per cent from 18: 17 per cent in March. Again, in April it came down to 18:12 per cent from May’s  17: 93 per cent and in May the inflation rate downed  to 17:75 in June.

Similarly, while July recorded a lowly 17:38 per cent, August also slipped to 17:01per cent. The declining performance was recorded in September (16:83 per cent), October (15:99 per cent) and November (15:40 per cent).

Earlier, Director, Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Hassan Mahmud, at  the virtual Mid-Year Economic Review and Outlook,  2021, organised by the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria’s Centre for Financial Studies, in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates, had predicted that  the country’s inflation rate would drop to a single digit in 2022.

Mahmud said that  there were positive sides to Nigeria’s economic growth, despite uncertainties in the domestic and global economy.

He said that if policy challenges with exchange rates, insecurity, among others, were addressed effectively, the country would start seeing some positive projections in 2021 and the beginning of 2022.

“We will also see the inflation number coming down less than 13 per cent by the end of 2021 and further down to  single-digit by 2022 or the middle of 2022.” Mahmud, said.

Confirming this projection, Statistician-General (SG), Dr Simon Harry, said that the decline  was because of the conscious implementation of the Sustainable Developments Goals (SDGs) by the government.

To arrive at the inflation rate, over over 10,534 informants from different parts of the country are deployed and the price index of over 740 goods and services are compiled.

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