From Uche Usim, Abuja
No doubt, the global economy has been flying through rough air for over a year, forcing about 95% of the world’s central banks to raise monetary policy rates (lending rates), far higher than they did during the inflationary oil price shocks of the 1970s, all to maintain buoyancy.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) joined the global rate-hike expedition in May 2022, even though there are concerns in several quarters as to how effective it has been in arresting inflation, currently pegged at 22.79% by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
Penultimate Tuesday, the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) increased lending rate by 25 basis points from 18.5% to 18.75%.
The main casualties in rate hikes are borrowers like manufacturers and service providers. Consumers are also terribly affected as they usually hold the short end of the stick and bear the brunt of passed-on costs.
However, the main question is, are you looking for ways to make the most out of the current economic climate? With interest rates on the rise, it’s important to understand how this shift can impact your investments and financial planning. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting, learning how to navigate the changing interest rate environment can help you achieve your financial goals. In this article, we’ll explore some strategies you can use to profit from rising interest rates and make the most out of your investments.
Where to invest when interest rates rise?
When interest rates start to rise, it can be challenging for investors to determine where to put their money to work. But while increasing interest rates can hurt some areas of the economy, they can also create new opportunities for investors to earn higher returns and protect against inflation.
To help you navigate this complex landscape, Marco Santarelli, a financial analyst, has compiled a list of investment strategies that you can use to profit from rising interest rates. Considering investing in commodities or natural resources can be a smart strategy for profiting from rising interest rates. Commodities are tangible goods, such as metals, energy, and agricultural products, that are traded on various markets. Natural resources, on the other hand, are the raw materials used to produce goods and services, such as oil, gas, and minerals.
When interest rates rise, the value of the US dollar tends to increase, which can lead to a decrease in commodity prices. However, some commodities and natural resources, such as precious metals and oil, may be less affected by rising interest rates due to their unique properties and market dynamics.
Investing in commodities or natural resources can provide diversification to a portfolio and potentially protect against inflation, as prices for these goods tend to increase during periods of inflation. Additionally, commodities and natural resources can provide a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties, as their prices can be impacted by global events.
However, investing in commodities and natural resources also comes with its own risks, such as volatility and fluctuations in supply and demand. It’s important to carefully evaluate the risks and potential rewards before investing and to diversify your investments across various commodities and natural resources.
Invest in fixed-income securities with a short duration
One way to potentially profit from rising interest rates is by investing in fixed-income securities with a short duration. Short-term bonds typically have less exposure to interest rate risk than longer-term bonds because their prices are less sensitive to changes in interest rates. When interest rates rise, the prices of longer-term bonds tend to fall more than the prices of shorter-term bonds. By investing in short-term fixed-income securities, you may be able to reduce your exposure to this risk and protect your portfolio from losses.
However, it’s important to keep in mind that short-term fixed-income securities may offer lower yields than longer-term bonds. This means that you may not earn as much income from your investments as you would with longer-term bonds. Additionally, not all short-term fixed-income securities are created equal. You’ll want to research and select high-quality bonds with solid credit ratings and low default risks
Consider dividend-paying stocks
Another strategy to consider when interest rates are on the rise is investing in dividend-paying stocks. As interest rates rise, bond yields also tend to rise, making fixed-income investments more attractive. This can cause investors to shift their focus away from stocks and toward bonds, potentially leading to a decline in the stock market.
However, investing in dividend-paying stocks can provide a steady stream of income that can be attractive to investors looking for yield in a rising interest rate environment. Additionally, companies that pay dividends tend to be well-established and financially stable, which can make them more resilient to economic downturns.
When selecting dividend-paying stocks, it’s important to consider the company’s financial health, dividend history, and dividend yield. You’ll want to look for companies with a track record of paying consistent and increasing dividends, as well as a healthy balance sheet and strong earnings growth potential.
However, it’s important to keep in mind that dividend-paying stocks may not be appropriate for all investors. They can carry risks, such as fluctuations in stock prices and potential changes to dividend policies. It’s important to evaluate your risk tolerance and investment goals before making any investment decisions.
Invest in sectors that tend to perform well in a rising interest-rate environment
Investing in sectors that tend to perform well in a rising interest rate environment can be a smart strategy for maximizing returns during periods of increasing rates. Certain sectors, such as financials, real estate, and consumer staples, have historically performed well in a rising interest rate environment.
Financials, for example, can benefit from higher interest rates because it increases their net interest margins, which is the difference between the interest income earned on loans and the interest expense paid on deposits. Real estate can also be attractive because rising rates can be a sign of a healthy economy, which can lead to increased demand for commercial and residential properties.
Consumer staples, on the other hand, tend to perform well in a rising interest rate environment because they provide essential goods and services that people need regardless of the economic climate. Additionally, companies in this sector typically have strong cash flows and lower levels of debt, making them less sensitive to rising interest rates.
When investing in sectors that tend to perform well in a rising interest rate environment, it’s important to select high-quality companies with strong fundamentals and solid growth prospects. It’s also important to diversify your investments across multiple sectors to reduce risk and potentially maximize returns.
It’s important to remember that historical performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investing in specific sectors can carry risks, and it’s important to carefully evaluate your options and do your research before making any investment decisions.
4. Consider Inflation-protected Securities Like Treasury Inflation-protected Securities (Tips)
When interest rates are rising, inflation can also become a concern. To protect your investments against inflation, you may want to consider inflation-protected securities like Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). TIPS are government-issued bonds that are designed to keep pace with inflation, which can help protect your portfolio from the erosive effects of inflation.
TIPS provides a fixed rate of return, plus a portion that adjusts for inflation. This can be especially attractive during periods of rising inflation because the principal value of the bond is adjusted to reflect changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures inflation.
Additionally, TIPS can provide a steady income stream, as they pay interest twice a year. They are also considered to be relatively low-risk investments because they are backed by the U.S. government. It’s important to keep in mind that TIPS may not be appropriate for all investors. They can carry risks, such as fluctuations in the bond market and potential changes in inflation rates. Additionally, the yields on TIPS may be lower than yields on traditional bonds.
5. Refinance Your Existing Debt at a Fixed Rate
When interest rates rise, it can be a good time to consider refinancing your existing debt at a fixed rate. This can be especially attractive for those who have variable-rate debt, such as credit card balances, home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), or adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs).
By refinancing at a fixed rate, you can lock in a lower interest rate and potentially save money on interest payments over the life of the loan. Additionally, fixed-rate loans provide stability and predictability in monthly payments, which can be helpful for budgeting purposes.
When considering refinancing, it’s important to evaluate the costs associated with refinancing, such as closing costs and origination fees. You’ll also want to compare the interest rates and terms of your existing debt to the rates and terms of the new loan to ensure that refinancing is a cost-effective option.
Additionally, it’s important to consider your overall financial situation and whether refinancing makes sense given your long-term financial goals. Refinancing can be a useful tool for reducing debt and saving money on interest, but it may not be appropriate for all individuals.
Overall, refinancing your existing debt at a fixed rate can be a smart strategy for managing debt and saving money on interest during periods of rising interest rates. But as with any financial decision, it’s important to carefully evaluate your options and consider the potential costs and benefits before making any decisions.
Invest in real estate properties
Investing in real estate properties such as rental properties can be a viable strategy to profit during rising interest rates. When interest rates increase, it can become more difficult for people to obtain mortgages, which can lead to a greater demand for rental properties. Additionally, rental rates may increase as well, leading to higher cash flows for property owners.
When interest rates rise, it becomes more expensive for borrowers to take out loans, including mortgages. This can lead to a drop in home buying demand and lower home prices. However, rental demand may increase as fewer people can afford to buy homes. Therefore, investing in rental properties during rising interest rates can be profitable.
Purchase rental properties at a lower price due to reduced demand for buying homes and rent them out to tenants at a higher rate. This can result in higher rental income and potentially higher property value over time. It’s advisable to consider fixed-rate loans to ensure your mortgage payments remain the same, reducing the impact of rising interest rates on your investment.
If interest rates start to decline slowly after obtaining a fixed-rate loan, your mortgage payment will remain the same. While your fixed-rate loan may have a slightly higher interest rate than the prevailing rates at the time, the advantage of a fixed-rate loan is that it offers stability and predictability in your mortgage payment, which can be beneficial for budgeting and cash flow management.
In the case of declining interest rates, you can choose to refinance your mortgage to a lower interest rate. Refinancing a fixed-rate loan can be more challenging than refinancing an adjustable-rate mortgage, as you may need to pay a penalty for breaking the fixed-rate contract. However, if interest rates have declined significantly, refinancing may still be worthwhile, as it could lead to significant savings on your mortgage payments over the long term. It’s important to carefully consider the market conditions and potential risks before investing in real estate.